MideastWeb Middle East Web Log
Wednesday, December 29, 2004
Crystal Ball 2005
Last year, editors of Mideastweb and other experts made a series of predictions for 2004. Eleven of the fourteen were correct.
This year, four of our editors participated in the MEW Crystal Ball. We all agreed that this was a year of uncertainty and change. The Iraq elections and insurgency, Israeli disengagement, changes in Palestinian government, Iranian nuclear development, US-Syrian tension and Saudi unrest are some of the issues that will set the tone for Middle East events this year. Here are our predictions, but be prepared for surprises. [more]
Tuesday, December 28, 2004
Prophet & Loss Statement 2004 - How good was the MEW Crystal Ball?
Wednesday, December 22, 2004
Press Versus Truth II: The many Herzliya speeches of Ariel Sharon
According to press accounts, Ariel Sharon had a very busy day at the Herzliya conference last Thursday. In one day, he gave a speech that re-declared the Oslo initiatives, he gave another that declared war on the Palestinians, and a third that annexed half of the West Bank to Israel. He also gave a speech that promised peace and an independent Palestinian state, and another that didn't mention either, and another that rejected Palestinian rights and independence. [more]
Tuesday, December 21, 2004
Press Versus Truth I: Incitement in Palestinian Texts: IHT Versus Reality
We all wish for the day when Palestinians and Israelis will live in peace and say only nice things about each other. The International Herald Tribune apparently thinks that wishing makes it so. [more]
Saturday, December 18, 2004
Israeli-Palestinian Peace: Sharon's speech and Abbas's answer define the gap
The annual Herzliya conference on Israeli security has become an important event for Israel foreign affairs watchers, not least because PM Ariel Sharon has chosen this forum to make major policy announcements. [more]
Tuesday, December 7, 2004
The Winds of Peace?
After four years of violence, the winds of peace seem to be blowing at last between the Jordan and the sea. The death of Yasser Arafat and the disengagement plan of Ariel Sharon have combined to create an atmosphere of optimism. [more]
Wednesday, December 1, 2004
Success or Failure in Iraq and how to tell the difference
Why is the war in Iraq like a big embedded software project? Most software projects that fail, do so because the requirements were defined incorrectly. Different people seem to have defined the requirements for the war in Iraq differently. The "as-built system" called post-war Iraq may therefore have some very surprising and undesirable characteristics, dooming the project to failure. Without understanding the goals, we may not even be able to judge whether we are looking at success or failure. What are the US and its allies trying to do in Iraq? [more]
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