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Where Iraq is headed: not anyplace good08/16/2004 The art or pastime of making bold predictions about world events turns out to be a curious business. Sometimes you're right. Sometimes you're wrong. And sometimes you're right but wish you were wrong. That's where I think I've arrived on the subject of Iraq.
Last Friday, Fred Kaplan lamented the Iraq quagmire: This is a terribly grim thing to say, but there might be no solution to the problem of Iraq. There might be nothing we can do to build a path to a stable, secure, let alone democratic regime. And there's no way we can just pull out without plunging the country, the region, and possibly beyond into still deeper disaster.The latest news probably isn't going to change Kaplan's mind: a three-day conference intended to create a 100-member interim assembly, responsible for elections, among other things, is falling apart just as it gets underway. The situation in Najaf seems increasingly beyond remedy. (Much the same could be said of Fallujah.) Ayatollah Sistani, who seemed destined to control the outcome of national elections, is no longer in the country. In all these respects, the situation is appreciably worse than I had envisioned just a few months ago. But this only serves to underscore what I concluded last fall, which is the matter of Iraq has already been decided, and not in America's favor. All that is left is figuring out how to extricate ourselves with the least amount of pain. We certainly aren't in much of a position to determine who will control Iraq once we're gone. President Bush has no apparent plan besides "stay the course." Sen. John Kerry proposes a plan reminiscent of how the British left Palestine: they handed off to the UN and then pulled out. In the case of Palestine, the UN had no forces to provide, so the British departure coincided with the eruption of full-blown intercommunal warfare and the intervention of neighboring states, intent on seizing territory for themselves. Presumably, that's not what Kerry has in mind, but he may have to settle for something uncomfortably close to this scenario if he turns out to be serious about this strategy. Either way, we can't stay forever, and once we're gone, what are now effectively two or three separate wars against the United States and its Iraqi associates are liable to become a civil war. The main difference between the candidates seems to be when each is willing to cut America's losses: Kerry sooner, Bush later. Analyst
Original text copyright by the author and MidEastWeb for Coexistence, RA. Posted at MidEastWeb Middle East Web Log at http://www.mideastweb.org/log/archives/00000291.htm where your intelligent and constructive comments are welcome. Distributed by MEW Newslist. Subscribe by e-mail to mew-subscribe@yahoogroups.com. Please forward by email with this notice and link to and cite this article. Other uses by permission. by Analyst @ 08:44 AM CST [Link] |
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Replies: 6 comments
That country was brought up learning to fight against each other. From the time they were little boys they were taught to shoot and kill their kind instead of resolving issues with words. Posted by Loosy @ 09/06/2004 08:54 AM CST
The United States, long before it was a country fought with England for our freedom. Any country, that is not willing to fight for their freedom is not worthy of freedom. Benjamin Franklin said word to that effect at one time. Posted by Ray Turner @ 09/11/2004 08:58 PM CST Don't blame this war on Bush, He was not the one that flew the planes into the W.T.C. We wouldn't have had to go into Iraq if the French and Germans had not been play let's hide the money with Sadam. Posted by Roger L. Owens @ 09/13/2004 07:57 PM CST
American civilians have been purposely lied to by its own government. First, the lie about fighting terrorism; let alone Saddam Hussien, it was never sufficiently proven that Bin laden was behind 9/11!! Let memory serve you correctly, soon after 9/11 there was supposed to be an investigation into the attacks. For some reason BEFORE a trial could be held, the U.S. dropped bombs on civillians, primarily women and children, in Afghanistan. Even though American media with such unfair bias tries to paint these Arab, Muslim, or non Jewish people overseas as suicide bombers and terrorist, Osama bin laden said several times on national t.v. that he had nothing to do with 9/11. Now, it's funny to me how on most american media, whenever there is some sort suicide bombing, they say so and so claimed responsibility; therefor, why would bin laden say he had nothing to do with it. The rediculous statement that he feared U.S. retaliation makes no sense because, HELLO!!! HE'S A SUPPOSED SUICDE BOMBER, HE DOES'NT CARE ABOUT DYING!!! SO WHY WOULD HE DENY IT OUT OF FEAR OF U.S. RETALIATION! This is just one of the many lies about the "war on terror". Posted by vff @ 09/14/2004 10:03 AM CST
I can't believe that Bush supporters have the nerve to criticize any part of Kerry's service records when Bush and Cheney both dodged the draft and were allowed to do so because of the reason the don't support affirmitive action for "preferential treatment", you know, being priveledged. The fact is, it doesn't matter if Kerry was bitten by a bug in Vietnam, at least he was over there risking his life in the line of fire. Posted by v @ 09/15/2004 03:51 AM CST
Don't blame bush because he did'nt fly planes into the wtc? I hate to be the one to be the one to break this to you but, neither did Saddam Hussein. And, if you look at the records regarding it, it appears bush knew a heck of a lot more about the events surrounding 9/11 than what Saddam did. He said early in his term in 2000 that it was american policy to remove saddam hussein from power. When, in fact, it has never been American policy to remove a leader of another country from power. Posted by zx @ 09/15/2004 04:41 AM CST Please do not leave notes for MidEastWeb editors here. Hyperlinks are not displayed. We may delete or abridge comments that are longer than 250 words, or consist entirely of material copied from other sources, and we shall delete comments with obscene or racist content or commercial advertisements. Comments should adhere to Mideastweb Guidelines . IPs of offenders will be banned. |
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