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Crystal Ball: Israel Election results

01/23/2003

Following are my updated predictions regarding the Israeli elections, not much changed from earlier ones: (and including NRP)

Right Bloc 66: Likud - 32| NRP|4| Nat Union 8 | Shas 14| UTJ 4| Yisrael B'Aliya 4|
Center 17 : Shinui -15| Am Ehad - 2
Left - 37 : Labor - 19| Meretz 8 | Arab Parties - 10 |

There will be a large "center" contingent. These parties seem to attract mostly ex-Labor and Meretz voters.

Uncertainty as to individual party results is relatively large because of the large number of undecided votes, but the indecision applies mostly to votes within a political block, or between a center party and left or right party. The ultra-right Herut and/or the "Green" Aleh Yarok party may get enough votes to pass the 1.5 seat barrier and get 2 Knesset seats apiece.

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Original text copyright by the author and MidEastWeb for Coexistence, RA. Posted at MidEastWeb Middle East Web Log at http://www.mideastweb.org/log/archives/00000033.htm where your intelligent and constructive comments are welcome. Distributed by MEW Newslist. Subscribe by e-mail to mew-subscribe@yahoogroups.com. Please forward by email with this notice and link to and cite this article. Other uses by permission.

by Ami Isseroff @ 01:00 PM CST [Link]

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